@jolyonTrump has stated multiple times that a six-month conflict with Iran will end right after the November midterms. His reasoning is that Tehran cannot sustain the fighting and wants to push for a weaker Congress. He warned Iranian actors against moves at Pickaxe Mountain after seeing activity near the buried tunnel complex close to Natanz. Brent oil stays above $100 per barrel while shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz drops and Houthis advance toward Bab el-Mandeb. Advisers have privately indicated the war might drag on until 2028. This leaves us asking where the war started and why its timeline does not match the election schedule. Source: Reuters / Writer: Jamie
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